Here are some strategies that can be useful for betting on golf tournaments:
1. Look at Course History: Analyze how players have performed historically at a particular course. Some golfers tend to play better on certain types of courses that fit their game.
2. Consider Current Form: A player's recent performances leading up to a tournament can be a good indicator of their current form and confidence level.
3. Evaluate Driving Accuracy/Greens in Regulation: These stats show a player's ability to hit fairways and greens, which is crucial for scoring well.
4. Check Weather Forecasts: Bad weather can make courses play much tougher, so look for players who can grind out scores in inclement conditions.
5. Utilize Head-to-Head Matchups: Rather than betting outrights, head-to-head matchups between players can provide value if you identify favorable pairings.
6. Shop for Best Odds: Online sportsbooks can differ in their odds offerings, so shop around to get the best lines on the players you want to bet on.
7. Consider Top Finishers: For major tournaments, looking at top 5, top 10 or top 20 finish odds can be wise since outrighting winners is very difficult.
8. Check Statistical Models: Some advanced stats models project golfers' scoring averages and probabilities of success.
The key is to analyze all the relevant data points and trust your handicapping process while shopping for positive expected value bets.
1. Look at Course History: Analyze how players have performed historically at a particular course. Some golfers tend to play better on certain types of courses that fit their game.
2. Consider Current Form: A player's recent performances leading up to a tournament can be a good indicator of their current form and confidence level.
3. Evaluate Driving Accuracy/Greens in Regulation: These stats show a player's ability to hit fairways and greens, which is crucial for scoring well.
4. Check Weather Forecasts: Bad weather can make courses play much tougher, so look for players who can grind out scores in inclement conditions.
5. Utilize Head-to-Head Matchups: Rather than betting outrights, head-to-head matchups between players can provide value if you identify favorable pairings.
6. Shop for Best Odds: Online sportsbooks can differ in their odds offerings, so shop around to get the best lines on the players you want to bet on.
7. Consider Top Finishers: For major tournaments, looking at top 5, top 10 or top 20 finish odds can be wise since outrighting winners is very difficult.
8. Check Statistical Models: Some advanced stats models project golfers' scoring averages and probabilities of success.
The key is to analyze all the relevant data points and trust your handicapping process while shopping for positive expected value bets.