Can you give me an example of a -EV play?

[Mike_25]

A $200 pot with $50 chips having your pair of sixes, but facing a player who frequently calls three bets with marginal hands hoping to double through. Although your pair defeats weak pairs and worse hands, there's a high chance this player has a draw or small pair as well. Calling a raise and pot-sized bet-three in a row seeking $600 more in the pot with only 6 outs to improve is -EV. It's unlikely your equity covers the amount at risk if called. The smart play folds sixes in this situation to avoid losing far more than the pot sized raise gains.

 

[Baniro]

Certainly! In the context of finance or gambling, an example of a -EV (negative expected value) play is a bet or investment that is likely to result in a long-term loss. Here's an example:

Let's say you come across a game at a casino called "Double or Nothing Roulette." In this game, you can place a bet on either red or black. If the ball lands on your chosen color, you double your bet. However, if it lands on the opposite color, you lose your entire bet.

At first glance, this might seem like a fair game with a 50% chance of winning. However, upon closer examination, you realize that the casino has added a green "0" pocket to the roulette wheel, which gives the house a slight edge. This means that over time, the casino is expected to win slightly more often than players.

In this case, placing bets on red or black in "Double or Nothing Roulette" would be considered a -EV play. Although you have a 50% chance of winning each individual bet, the presence of the green "0" pocket ensures that the casino has a small advantage in the long run, leading to an overall negative expected value for the players.

 

[Dallax]

If you are called by a player who has raised a large amount of money, it is likely that they have a strong hand. Calling with a weak hand in this situation is a -EV play because you are more likely to lose money than to win money. Bluffing with a weak hand. Bluffing is a risky play, and it is only successful if your opponent folds. If your opponent calls your bluff, you will lose money.