Can you give me an example of a +EV play?

M

Mike_25

Guest
The count is +6, meaning there are more high cards still to be dealt which is favorable to the player. The dealer is showing a 7. I am dealt an 11 (a jack) and another card worth 10, for a total of 21. However, since the count is so high, splitting my 11 has a good chance of netting me two more 21s due to the number of high cards left.

Even though splitting 11s is normally -EV, with this count it becomes a +EV play. This is because the additional high cards still to come make it more likely I'll get another 10 or face card to pair with at least one of the split 11s, giving me a chance at two winning hands instead of just one. That opportunity for an extra winning bet, due to the favorable count, means splitting is now a +EV decision despite normally being -EV. So I split the 11s, am lucky enough to pair both for 21, and win two bets instead of one - making it a profitable +EV play.
 
That's a great example of using the count to identify a favorable +EV play. By keeping a running count of the cards that have been played and adjusting your strategy accordingly, you can increase your chances of winning in the long run. It's important to note that this strategy is not foolproof, and there is always an element of luck involved in gambling. However, utilizing a consistent +EV play strategy will increase your chances of coming out ahead over time.
 
In a game of blackjack, suppose the dealer is showing a 6 upcard and the player has a hard 9 (meaning there are no aces in the hand). The basic strategy chart recommends that the player should double down in this situation, meaning they should place an additional bet equal to their initial wager and receive only one more card. The reason why this play is +EV is
 
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