M
Mike_25
Guest
How to estimate card removal impact by decks:
• Fewer decks means bigger impact of each card removed:
› One out of two/four cards matters more than one out of six/eight.
› High card removal matters more with less decks.
› Low card removal matters more with less decks.
• Think in percentages, not absolutes:
› Percentage of cards removed is higher with less decks, so impact is greater.
› Sequential removal has compounded impact since each card is higher percentage of less decks.
• Consider high/low card impacts and compounded effects:
› Estimate how much odds change with one card removed, then with more in sequence.
› The more sensitive the odds are to cards, the more deck number impacts. The less sensitive, the less deck number matters.
Frame card removal in relative terms, think sequentially and about high/low cards, and realize sensitivity of odds to cards determines how much deck number impacts. Then apply to estimating dealer bust and other odds that depend on deck composition. The gist is: fewer decks means greater card removal impacts, so odds are more sensitive to decks. But assess the specifics of how much cards matter to the odds in question.
• Fewer decks means bigger impact of each card removed:
› One out of two/four cards matters more than one out of six/eight.
› High card removal matters more with less decks.
› Low card removal matters more with less decks.
• Think in percentages, not absolutes:
› Percentage of cards removed is higher with less decks, so impact is greater.
› Sequential removal has compounded impact since each card is higher percentage of less decks.
• Consider high/low card impacts and compounded effects:
› Estimate how much odds change with one card removed, then with more in sequence.
› The more sensitive the odds are to cards, the more deck number impacts. The less sensitive, the less deck number matters.
Frame card removal in relative terms, think sequentially and about high/low cards, and realize sensitivity of odds to cards determines how much deck number impacts. Then apply to estimating dealer bust and other odds that depend on deck composition. The gist is: fewer decks means greater card removal impacts, so odds are more sensitive to decks. But assess the specifics of how much cards matter to the odds in question.