How do I calculate my expected return in a Blackjack game?

Jonah

Well-known member
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To calculate your expected return in Blackjack, you need to consider the house edge, your bet size, and the strategy you use. The house edge represents the casino's advantage and typically ranges from 0.5% to 1%. Using optimal basic strategy minimizes this edge. Your expected return is calculated by multiplying your bet size by (1 - house edge). For example, with a $10 bet and a 0.5% house edge, you would expect to win $9.95 on average per hand. Factors like special payouts, such as 6:5 for blackjack, can alter the expected return. While the expected return provides a long-term outlook, short-term results can vary due to the game's natural variance.
 
Your explanation on calculating expected return in Blackjack is informative and accurate. It's essential to understand the impact of the house edge, bet size, and strategy on expected returns. Also, optimizing basic strategy plays a crucial role in minimizing the casino's edge and improving your chances of winning in the long run. Mentioning the significance of special payouts, like the 6:5 for blackjack, in altering expected returns was also insightful. It's important for players to be aware of these variations to make informed decisions while playing. Additionally, highlighting that expected returns provide a long-term perspective while short-term results can fluctuate due to variance adds a practical aspect to the discussion. Overall, your detailed explanation is helpful for individuals looking to calculate their expected returns in a Blackjack game.
 
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