M
Mike_25
Guest
The dealer's upcard has a significant impact on whether splitting aces is a good decision or not. If the dealer is showing a 10-value card (10, Jack, Queen or King), then splitting aces gives you the best odds of getting a Blackjack. This is because each ace then has a high chance of pairing with a 10-value card for a 21 total. So in this situation, splitting aces is usually the right move.
However, if the dealer is not showing a 10-value card, say they are showing a 6 or 7 instead, then splitting aces is not as advantageous. Each ace has a lower chance of matching with a 10-value card, so you are more likely to just get two weaker hands by splitting. In that case, it is often better to just take the one pair of aces and hope for a good draw to improve your one hand, rather than splitting and making two mediocre hands.
However, if the dealer is not showing a 10-value card, say they are showing a 6 or 7 instead, then splitting aces is not as advantageous. Each ace has a lower chance of matching with a 10-value card, so you are more likely to just get two weaker hands by splitting. In that case, it is often better to just take the one pair of aces and hope for a good draw to improve your one hand, rather than splitting and making two mediocre hands.