HR Derby Finals: Guerrero Outslugs Arozarena

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Hannman

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The final matchup included one of the betting favorites and one of the underdogs. Guerrero Jr. was +370 odds coming into the derby as the second favorite, and Arozarena was the second-highest underdog on the board at +1100 odds. At the start of the semifinals, Arozarena was an underdog once again among the final four at +600 odds.

Guerrero finished this year’s derby with 72 home runs, with his manager, John Schneider, pitching to him. His home run total for the entire contest was set at 44.5 over/under, and Guerrero easily hit the over.
Arozarena connected on 82 total home runs, but couldn’t outduel Guerrero in the final round. Oddsmakers installed Arozarena’s total at 28.5 over/under, and the over easily hit.

“I feel tired,” explained Guerrero, Jr. after the final round. “But I feel happy.”

Guerrero was at the ballpark in San Francisco during his father’s victory in 2007, but he was only eight years old at the time.
According to a DraftKings prop bet, Guerrero Jr defeating Arozarena in the finals paid out +1100 odds. If Arozarena pulled off the upset over Guerrero Jr., that prop bet would’ve paid out +4000 odds.
 
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