MLB Player Prop #1: Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Strikeouts

H

Hannman

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Alcantara has been an ace pitcher for the past couple years, but in 2023 he is a far cry from what he has been previously. Last year, he had an ERA of 2.28, and a strikeout rate of 23.4%. He has actually had a strikeout rate above 20% for the past three years, but that is not the case this year.

His ERA is up to 4.97, and he has a strikeout rate of 19.4%. For reference, that puts him at 55th in the entire MLB in terms of strikeout rate. To even be in the top 30, he would need a strikeout rate of 25% and above. This is also the highest his walk rate has been since the 2020 season, with a walk rate of 7.3%. All in all, it hasn’t been great for Alcantara.

Sandy Alcantara – Last Six Starts​

TeamKsDate
Washington Nationals16/16
Chicago White Sox46/10
Oakland Athletics76/4
San Diego Padres35/30
Colorado Rockies35/24
San Francisco Giants55/19

As if this play couldn’t get any better, we haven’t even talked about the Blue Jays yet, who pretty much never strikeout. Against right-handed pitchers, the Blue Jays strike out 20.7% of the time, which is the 5th-lowest in the entire MLB. If you isolate the date range to the past 14 days, that number is down to 20.1%, which is the 4th-lowest in the MLB.

Of all players who qualify, they only have one batter who strikes out over 25% of that time, and that would be Matt Chapman at 27.1%. Staples in their lineup such as Bo Bichette (16.8%), George Springer (15.9%), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (15.6%) rarely strike out.
 
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