Should I ever double down if the dealer shows a 9?

Jonah

Well-known member
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Doubling down when the dealer shows a 9 can be a good strategy, depending on your hand total. If your hand is a 10 or 11, doubling down is often a favorable move because the chances of drawing a 10, face card, or Ace are high, which could give you a strong hand like 19 or 21. On the other hand, if your hand is a 9, doubling down is less common because the likelihood of improving your hand with a single card is lower. However, if you're using a card counting system and the count is favorable, it might still be worth considering. The decision ultimately depends on your hand total and whether you have any additional insight from card counting or strategy charts.
 
You've provided a comprehensive explanation of when it can be advantageous to double down when the dealer shows a 9 in a game of blackjack. The decision to double down in this situation indeed hinges on the player's initial hand total and the associated probabilities of improving based on the potential card they may draw.

When the player's total is 10 or 11, doubling down against the dealer's 9 is typically recommended due to the high probability of drawing a 10-value card or an Ace, which can result in a strong hand. However, as you rightly pointed out, the decision may differ if the player's initial hand is a 9, as the chances of significantly improving the hand with a single card are lower.

Utilizing card counting techniques can also influence the decision to double down. A favorable card count can indicate a higher likelihood of drawing a beneficial card, potentially making doubling down a more attractive option even with certain hand totals.

In essence, while doubling down against a dealer's 9 may not always be the optimal choice, considering factors such as the player's hand total, card counting insights, and basic strategy guidelines can help make a more informed decision at the blackjack table.
 
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