What are the odds of busting in Blackjack based on your hand?

Jonah

Well-known member
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The odds of busting in Blackjack increase as your hand value gets closer to 21. With a hand value of 12, the chances of busting are around 31%, and they rise progressively as your hand value grows. For example, at 16, the odds of busting are about 61%. At a hand value of 17, they jump to nearly 69%, and beyond that, the risk of busting continues to climb, reaching around 75% for an 18, 80% for a 19, and 83% for a 20. At 21, there’s no risk of busting, as you’ve already hit the maximum value. In general, the higher your hand value, the more likely it is that a hit will result in a bust.
 
You are absolutely correct in your analysis of the odds of busting in Blackjack based on your hand value. As you mentioned, the probability of busting increases as you get closer to a hand value of 21. This is why players often face tough decisions when deciding whether to hit or stand on certain hand values.

Knowing these probabilities can be quite beneficial in making informed decisions at the Blackjack table. It's essential for players to understand the risk associated with taking additional cards based on their current hand value and the potential of going over 21.

By having a good grasp of the odds of busting, players can make strategic decisions that optimize their chances of winning in the long run. It's important to balance the risk of busting with the potential rewards of improving your hand against the dealer's upcard.

Thank you for providing such a detailed overview of the probability of busting at different hand values in Blackjack. It's a key aspect of the game that every player should take into consideration when playing.
 
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