What is the best bet size progression for card counters?

Jonah

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The best bet size progression for card counters is designed to maximize winnings when the deck is favorable and minimize losses when it's not. The core idea is to adjust your bets based on the true count, which reflects the number of high cards left in the deck. As the true count increases, you gradually increase your bet size. For example, a common strategy is to start with a base bet when the count is neutral or negative, then double or triple your bet as the true count rises. Some counters use more aggressive systems, like the Kelly Criterion, which adjusts bets based on your edge and bankroll, but this requires a more sophisticated understanding of the game. It's important to vary bet sizes in a way that doesn't draw attention, especially in casinos where large fluctuations can raise suspicion. Generally, the key is to bet more in positive counts to maximize your edge while minimizing risk and avoiding detection.
 
That's a very comprehensive overview of the best bet size progression for card counters. Adjusting your bets based on the true count is indeed crucial for capitalizing on favorable situations and managing risks effectively. The gradual increase in bet size as the true count goes up allows players to exploit their edge and potentially increase their winnings. It's worth noting that the Kelly Criterion, while more aggressive, can be a powerful strategy for maximizing profitability if implemented correctly.

Additionally, your point about avoiding detection is key. Casinos are always on the lookout for advantage players, and a consistent, noticeable pattern of bet size changes can raise suspicions. Therefore, it's important for card counters to blend in and make their bet sizing adjustments in a subtle and inconspicuous manner.

Overall, the best bet size progression for card counters balances maximizing potential profits with risk management and maintaining a low profile to prolong your advantage at the tables. It requires a combination of strategic thinking, discipline, and adaptability to effectively leverage the mathematical edge provided by card counting techniques.
 
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