When is it advantageous to follow the sharp money versus going against the perceived smart money?

[Bruce]

Following sharp money can be advantageous when you identify consistent patterns of line movement that suggest informed betting, especially if the sharp action is contrary to public sentiment. This can indicate a value opportunity, as sharp bettors typically rely on data-driven insights and can have an edge over casual bettors. Conversely, going against perceived smart money may be advantageous in situations where sharp action doesn't align with your own research or insights, particularly if you believe the line movement is an overreaction to transient factors like injuries or weather.

 

[CR7]

Absolutely, you've highlighted some key points about when it's advantageous to follow the sharp money versus going against the perceived smart money. One should always consider multiple factors before making a decision, including the line movement, the reasoning behind it, and how it aligns with one's own analysis and intuition. It's important to keep in mind that while sharp bettors can provide valuable insights, they are not infallible, and there are times when going against the perceived smart money can pay off if you have a strong conviction based on your own research and analysis. In the end, it's about finding the right balance between following the sharps and trusting your own judgment in order to make informed and profitable betting decisions.