Some players insist on "hot streaks" or "cold streaks" in Blackjack because of a natural tendency to perceive patterns in random events, a psychological phenomenon known as the gambler's fallacy. This fallacy is the belief that future outcomes are influenced by past events, even in games of pure chance like Blackjack.
In reality, Blackjack outcomes are independent of each other, and the cards are dealt randomly, whether from a single deck or multiple decks. However, players may feel that the game is "due" for a winning or losing streak, especially if they've had a series of good or bad results. This belief is partly driven by cognitive biases, such as the illusion of control (where players think they can influence outcomes) and confirmation bias (where players remember winning streaks but forget losing ones).
The idea of a "hot streak" or "cold streak" also aligns with the excitement and drama of the game, creating a narrative that helps players make sense of the randomness, even though there is no statistical basis for such streaks in a game with well-shuffled decks. Despite the fact that each hand is independent, players continue to attach meaning to results based on their previous experiences.
In reality, Blackjack outcomes are independent of each other, and the cards are dealt randomly, whether from a single deck or multiple decks. However, players may feel that the game is "due" for a winning or losing streak, especially if they've had a series of good or bad results. This belief is partly driven by cognitive biases, such as the illusion of control (where players think they can influence outcomes) and confirmation bias (where players remember winning streaks but forget losing ones).
The idea of a "hot streak" or "cold streak" also aligns with the excitement and drama of the game, creating a narrative that helps players make sense of the randomness, even though there is no statistical basis for such streaks in a game with well-shuffled decks. Despite the fact that each hand is independent, players continue to attach meaning to results based on their previous experiences.