Will Philadelphia Prevail in a Low-Scoring Contest against Mets?

H

Hannman

Guest
When these two teams met at Citi Field to end May and begin June, pitching dominated all three games. And in each game, the Mets managed to scrape together enough runs to sweep the Phillies in a series that saw only 11 total runs in three games.

Walker started the series finale on June 1, making his first appearance against the Mets after pitching for them in 2021 and 2022.

Though he allowed only two hits, one was a two-run homer by Mark Canha that put the Mets ahead in the fourth and contributed to his early exit in a 4-2 loss. In four innings, he allowed three runs, two hits, and three walks.

That loss appears to have been a key point for Walker, given how he has pitched since. In his last three starts, he is 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and has allowed one run, 11 hits, and five walks and struck out 21 in 20 innings.

Will his impressive run continue tonight? The chances are high. In his last four home starts, he is 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA and has given up one run, nine hits, and eight walks in 23.1 innings.

While a fourth straight strong start looks to be in the cards for Walker, the forecast is favorable for Senga as well. When he pitched against the Phillies on May 30, he pitched seven stellar shutout innings, allowing one hit and no walks and striking out nine.
That start came after a so-so start in a loss to the Chicago Cubs, and he goes into tonight’s start after allowing four runs in 6.2 innings in a loss to the St. Louis Cardinals last Saturday.

Why is this notable? In his rookie MLB campaign, Senga has now allowed three or more runs six times. In the starts that followed the first five instances, he is 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA, and the Mets have posted a 5-0 record. Over those five starts, he has allowed eight runs (seven earned) in 30 innings, with half of those runs coming in a single start at San Francisco–which he won–on April 20.
 
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